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Monday, May 18, 2020

Okay, Time to Stop the Bullshit.


Two months ago, things were looking pretty alarming.  COVID-19 was getting its feet under it in the USA, and the growth curve had every indication that it was undergoing a logarithmic progression.  Following the trend forward, it was looking like as many as ten million people could be infected in the US by the end of May if the projection went unchecked.  You can go back in this very blog and see the rationale that seemed the prudent thing to do back in March.  But then about the first week of April, the daily numbers of infected in the USA leveled off and have been about 30,000 a day and slowly dropping.

Back then we didn’t even know what we didn’t know about this pandemic.  We had the experience of the overloaded hospitals in Italy, and we were facing a logarithmically increasing number of infected people. The prudent thing to do was to break the cycle of infection by social distancing.  The purpose of this was to slow the advance of the virus so that our medical resources weren’t overwhelmed.

Does social isolation really save lives?  That depends on whether our medical resources would be overwhelmed if we didn’t isolate.  Based on our experience the last two months, the answer to that is an emphatic no.  Our medical resources haven’t been challenged to within 10% of their capacity.

This virus is not going to magically go away. As virulent as it is, your chances of catching it are very good. No matter when they re-open the world, you're going to see the infection rate jump. Right now, holding the country in lock-down is probably the worst thing you can do, because you're providing isolated pools in which the virus can mutate. Think about "flu season" which is when the school kids come back from three months of relative isolation and start spreading the flu mutations they acquired over the summer.

Here's the fact: You, me, everybody are probably going to catch it at some point, just like the flu. It's inevitable, it's not going away, and it's very contagious, and we can't live as hermits forever. Some people will die from it, just like the flu.  If the medical resources aren’t overwhelmed, the number of people who are going to die from COVID is going to be the same, whether we isolate or not.  Eventually, you’re going to get it, just like the flu.  The only way that isolation would save anyone’s lives is if people were dying because there was no medical resources available to care for them, and they die when they would have lived if they got appropriate medical attention.  We now know that scenario isn’t going to happen.

The lock-down never had anything to do with stopping the virus or preventing people from getting it. It was designed to mitigate the rate of propagation so that our medical resources weren't overwhelmed. It was a prudent thing to do in the early stages of the pandemic when we didn't even know what we didn't know.
We have a lot more data now. Our medical resources were never even challenged to within 1/10th of their capacity. The only lives that might be saved by locking down are the ones who would have been denied medical treatment because of an overloaded system. Now we know that's not going to happen.

Now we know that there may be a huge reservoir of people out there who have been infected, and never became symptomatic.  Non-mainstream news has pointed out that the death rate may have been exaggerated, because there was a financial incentive to classify deaths as COVID deaths.  We know the only country that we can trust less for accurate numbers than China is North Korea.

Wearing a mask will do very little to protect you from getting the virus.  Masks are designed to protect everyone from your germs, not you from everyone else’s germs.  Think of it like someone pissing on your leg.  If you’re wearing pants, you’re still getting soaked, but if they’re wearing pants, only they get soaked.  Gloves are useful, if you know how to use them, and dispose of them as soon as you leave a contamination area, to prevent cross-contamination.  Think of it like dipping your gloved hands in paint.  You wouldn’t want to touch anything with your paint covered gloves that you’ll later want to touch with ungloved hands.

If you’re driving your car or walking down the sidewalk away from other people in a mask and a gloves, I’m sorry, you’re an idiot, and don’t really grasp the concept.

When you see a state lift restrictions and suddenly have a jump in reported cases, you know you’re being lied to.  This has an incubation period of up to two weeks.  You won’t see any increase in infection rates for at least two weeks after you lift restrictions.

The left and Democrats are heavily invested in continuing this farce as long as possible.  It takes the attention off the shit show that their presidential primary had become, and Sleepy Joe Biden isn’t making a fool of himself on national TV on the campaign circuit.  If they can prolong this to November, they can push hard for vote-by-mail nationwide, and the ensuing opportunities that will entail for massive voter fraud that would make even the Democrats blush.  They have an idea that they can lay the blame for the wrecked economy at Trump’s feet and capitalize on it politically.  It shows you where the Democrats are at when they are joyful at the misery that the economic chaos has caused, because to them the allure of political power is far more important than the pain of the average working class American.  They want you to believe they care about you and are helping you by printing money they don’t have and giving it to you, devaluing the money in your bank with an invisible tax and increasing the national debt beyond our capacity to ever repay it.

Our supply chains are breaking down.  Food isn’t getting to market because the processing plants have closed because of COVID.  Yesterday my wife witnessed a fight at the grocery outlet over the last remaining bag of beans.  The government gets to decide who is essential, and who is not, who has permission to conduct commerce and who cannot.  People are being arrested for being alone in solitary activities that even in normal times mean getting away from other people.  There’s little rhyme or reason for often arbitrary enforcement, and apparently no common sense.  The one thing this has taught us all is who should not have been entrusted with the power they were given, who the petty tyrants are when given the chance, and who among our neighbors will turn you into the authorities as happened in Germany in the 1930’s and ‘40’s. 

If people are paying attention, we will rid ourselves of the leftist tyrants come this November and restore the country to its constitutional foundation.  This pandemic has been a free trial of socialism.  I hope everyone, especially the young people, have taken its lesson to heart.

We're nowhere close to challenging our medical resources. Open the damn economy. Stop the bullshit.